14–17 Jun 2022
Europe/London timezone

Realism, reckless states, and natural selection

17 Jun 2022, 10:45

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Neorealism struggles to explain the reckless expansionism of great powers. Neither offensive nor defensive realists give a fully satisfactory account. This paper maintains that the problem lies in their shared assumption that states pursue security. Tracing neorealism’s roots in evolutionary economics, and hence indirectly in biological theories of natural selection, I argue that many policies are compatible with state survival. Where the competition is harsh is in surviving as a great power. States that rise to that rank, and remain there, behave as if they sought to maximize their influence, not their security. This Darwinian competition selects in favour of states with expansionist institutions and ideologies. Failing to recognize this phenomenon risks conferring a spurious legitimacy on imperialism. At the same time, neorealists have also committed a fallacy familiar to biologists: assuming that traits that enhance group fitness are selected even when they diminish fitness in intragroup competition. Whereas interstate competition selects in great powers for traits that promote influence-maximization, with the spread of democracy, intrastate competition increasingly selects for security-seeking, promoting the pacification of international relations.

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