20–23 Jun 2023
Europe/London timezone

Multipolar Illusion: How the recent theoretical debate will fail to hit reality?

21 Jun 2023, 16:45

Description

The international system is at a crossroads, which has never been as uncertain as today's politics since the end of the Cold War. Struggle for power among second-tier states, civil wars and regional conflicts have been the main drivers of threat perception behind uncertainty. The mainstream analyses see ongoing instability as a result of multipolarity as if second-tier states challenge US supremacy. This study, instead, argues that the ongoing instability results from the Great Power Politics game being played in the gaps opened by the American neo-isolation grand strategy at the level of secondary states. Therefore, the international system analysis based on a systemic break creates a narrative around the multipolar illusion that also affects the discipline's future. Contrary to the century-long development of the discipline of International Relations, the theory establishes a new system narrative without a systemic break; that is, the theory misses the truth. In fact, the independent variable of the perception that will dominate both international politics and the discipline should be how the American Grand Strategy will be shaped in the future.

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