4–7 Jun 2024
Europe/London timezone

‘The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Nuclear Crisis Decision-Making: A Complement, Not a Substitute’

7 Jun 2024, 10:45

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Artificial intelligence (AI) — understood here broadly as technological systems that are capable of performing tasks that normally require human intelligence, such as understanding natural language, recognizing patterns, solving problems, and learning — introduces complex implications for diplomacy and trust-building in the context of nuclear crises. In this paper, we first identify the core differences between AI and human intelligence. We then consider what role AI might play in nuclear crisis decision-making. We conclude by identifying both limitations of AI and the ways in which human decision-making and AI may complement one another. In sum, we argue that AI's role in nuclear crises should be seen as a complementary tool rather than a substitute for human decision-making. While AI can enhance data analysis, provide insights into multiple motives, and offer unemotional perspectives, it is imperative that decision-makers maintain human oversight, seek to build interpersonal trust with their counterparts in adversary states, and navigate complex geopolitical dynamics.

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