17–20 Jun 2025
Europe/London timezone

The New Arms Race and Nuclear Disorder: Challenges to Nuclear Deterrence

20 Jun 2025, 10:45

Description

The geopolitical landscape and the new technological arms race between the United States, the Russian Federation, and China have led to the need to question the effectiveness of nuclear deterrence. Thus, the purpose of the article is to address the various challenges posed by the new political landscape on deterrence theory. Applying Michel Foucault’s knowledge and power nexus, this article expands our understanding of the political psychological, sociological, political, as well as practical obstacles to the success of deterrence. Understanding these obstacles is essential for strategists and policymakers to pursue effective deterrence strategies, especially with the recent developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Quantum communications to form new frameworks that are more context-sensitive, adaptive, and sustainable. In an environment where there is a high level of uncertainty due to AI revolution and quantum computing, deterrence might not be successful. In this regard, cryptography and quantum computing can be both a positive incentive as well as a challenge to trust-building between states. Thereby, there is a need for “quantum-resistant cryptographic standards, which refers to cryptographic systems designed to secure data against attacks by quantum computers, to enhance nuclear security. The article aims to comprehensively analyze the factors contributing to challenges to nuclear deterrence. It proposes a new framework to reinforce the Cold War structures and best practices based on data mining methodology

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