Description
This paper assumes the existence of a ‘strategic triangle’ comprised of the United States, China and Russia. The triangle’s three points approximate poles of power in the international system – so, we can talk of tripolarity as the operating environment of American grand strategy. In this environment, the United States is in an invidious position, facing two strategic competitors who are pragmatically aligned and not susceptible to wedging. Dealing simultaneously with two major rivals has led to a debate on prioritisation in which China has won out as America’s more pressing concern. If American grand strategy is finally pivoting to Asia (or, at least away from Europe), what consequences follow for the implementation of US policy on NATO and Ukraine? Has the United States finally called time on the strategic holiday enjoyed by its European allies? Should the European allies seek to keep NATO relevant by undertaking its own pivot to Asia and China?
