2–5 Jun 2026
Europe/London timezone

Navigating the US-China Economic Rivalry: Brazil’s Search for Autonomy and Opportunity

3 Jun 2026, 13:15

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Brazil’s economic diplomacy has sought to preserve autonomy amid intensifying US-China rivalry. While Chinese demand remains vital to Brazil’s export model - especially in agriculture and minerals - the country also depends, to a large degree, on access to the US market, as well as on American technology and investment. This paper argues that Brazil’s response has been largely pragmatic rather than strategic: it hedges rhetorically but aligns materially with existing liberal trade structures. Drawing on debates about economic statecraft and geoeconomic vulnerability, the paper explores how Brazil’s position reveals the limits of “South–South solidarity” in a world of weaponized interdependence.

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